The outperformance from combining factors
Long term, most active fund managers fail to beat their benchmark. You claim that your intelligent Quant Funds are able to outperform the market systematically. What is the secret of your success?
The secret is to be exposed to several factors at a time. No single factor can perform continuously. But if one doesn`t work, the others do. The correlation between the factors is low. In the long term, the combination of factors leads to outperformance.
There are dozens of different factors. Which ones do you use?
At Sparinvest we are value investors. That is our DNA. So one important factor is valuation. You can define value as paying as little as possible for investments that should be priced a lot higher. We use the price to book ratio. The second factor is size. Small and mid-cap stocks tend to outperform. That doesn’t mean they always outperform. The same is true for our third factor, which is momentum. If you buy the stocks with the strongest recent upwards price momentum, they tend to continue to outperform the market in the next few months. We try to make sure that all of these factors are present in each investment. The cumulative effects of these 3 tilts are enough to outperform the benchmark.
How big was your outperformance during the last years?
Since 2010, we have consistently outperformed our benchmark – MSCI World – by around two percent per year. For investors looking for a much bigger outperformance, our fund is the wrong product.
Why is that?
Due to its broad diversification, the fund will not diverge a lot from the benchmark. In our equity fund we have 800 positions. That’s a big difference when compared to conventional value funds with very concentrated portfolios. They can diverge a lot from the benchmark.
The management of 800 positions sounds like a lot of work.
It definitely is. By using our three factors we try to filter the best stocks out of many thousands. Even if we use computers, they don’t do the job by themselves. We have to feed them with a lot of data and knowledge and interpret the results right.
How does your fund perform in extreme surroundings, like 2008?
During the financial crisis in 2008, factor investing did not work so well. The reason is that large caps, which are underweighted in such funds, had easier access to financing. But 2008 was a disruptive, one-off event. This is not going to happen again in our lifetime.
Why are you so sure?
Because everybody is afraid of it. As long as the financial crisis is in the minds of the investors, they will not create another one. And people will remember 2008 for a long time.
David Bakkegaard Karsbøl is a fund manager and chief stategist at Sparinvest. He was one of the speakers at the recent Nordic Investment Managers Forum, which took place in Luxembourg.
Anders Tandberg-Johansen, head of Global Technology and fund manager with DNB Asset Management was another speaker at the event. Read his views on tech here: http://www.investmenteurope.net/opinion/dnb-tech-manager-tandberg-johansen-there-are-so-many-good-stories-out-there/2/
Further information on the event and the speakers is available at the event website (www.nimf.lu) and via its dedicated LinkedIn page (https://www.linkedin.com/company/nordic-investment-managers-forum?trk=company_logo).