Unigestion’s CEO comments on hedge fund manager selection
Fiona Frick (pictured) is chief executive officer of Swiss asset manager Unigestion.
In a world where growth is fragile at best and interest rates are likely to remain low for an extended period, there’s a growing consensus that returns from traditional asset classes will come under pressure in the years ahead.
For many investors, an allocation to alternatives still offers potential for attractive risk-adjusted returns as well as valuable portfolio diversification. However, the low interest-rate environment has also depressed returns for many hedge fund strategies and thrown the issue of fees into stark relief.
There is little doubt from our experience that skilled hedge fund managers can still provide a valuable source of uncorrelated alpha for long-term investors. Yet, advances in quantitative modelling have challenged traditional definitions of alpha and raised the possibility of accessing alternatives in a more cost-effective way.
Our research shows that it’s possible to build a robust alternatives solution around a core exposure to alternative risk premia, which provide investors access to the same broad, diversified set of risks embedded in many hedge fund strategies with greater liquidity, more flexibility, more transparency and at a lower cost.
This can then be complemented by investment in a number of carefully selected diversifying hedge fund managers able to deliver alpha uncorrelated to risk factors.
Risk management will be essential to generate returns and navigate volatility in such an environment. Key skills include expertise in harvesting individual alternative risk premia, the dexterity to allocate between them as economic regimes change, and the ability to identify and get access to the most skilled hedge fund managers.
Deconstructing hedge fund returns
Academic research conducted over the past decade has challenged the idea that hedge fund returns can be attributed to market beta and alpha, less fees.
The reality is more nuanced, with much of what was previously thought of as alpha proven to be due to the existence of differentiated risk premia which can be captured through liquid investment strategies. There is still room for true alpha, but this opens up the possibility of a new way of accessing alternative investment returns.
If we take market beta out of the equation, a more efficient way of generating alternative investment returns can therefore be said to be a combination of: alternative risk premia, available through liquid investment strategies, and alpha, from carefully selected hedge funds and attributable to manager skill.
More than this, with a thorough understanding of the components of hedge fund returns comes the ability to construct a truly diversified portfolio, with a core exposure to alternative risk premia complemented by individual hedge fund managers able to generate real uncorrelated alpha in the portfolio.
At the heart of risk premia investing is the idea that investors are compensated not for holding assets but for assuming risks.
These range from market beta, or the return from being invested in the equity market, through to alternative risk premia, which provide systematic explanations for returns which were previously thought of as alpha.
Theory has become practice with the advent of more sophisticated quantitative models and factor analysis tools, and views have changed in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis.
The boundaries between traditional and alternative asset classes have blurred, and a growing number of investors now think of diversification as coming not from investing in different asset classes but from investing in the different risk factors that drive these asset classes.
Combining risk premia with third party hedge fund exposure
We believe that harvesting risk premia and the generation of alpha are best viewed as separate categories, to reflect very different liquidity terms and pricing structures.
Investors should consider a directly managed allocation to alternative risk premia combined with a number of carefully selected diversifying third-party hedge funds, selected for their ability to generate uncorrelated alpha.
The result is an integrated alternatives solution, with the characteristics many investors are looking for and which can also overcome many of the challenges associated with traditional approaches such as high costs, liquidity and transparency.
This provides a third way for investors, not relying solely on hedge fund managers, who will tend to treat alternative risk premia as alpha, producing a very different portfolio composition or on pure quantitative managers, whose models tend to rely on historical correlations and which can prove less reliable at times of inflection in the markets.
Constructing the Alternative risk premia core
Not every risk commands a premium, and considerable work is required to establish which risk factors deliver sustainable and economically meaningful risk premia. Our research supports a move towards long/short equity factors, trend following and carry strategies, although we keep this under constant review.
It is also important to create liquid and investable portfolios with attractive risk characteristics. Since alternative risk premia bear specific risks typical of long/short strategies, risk models must go beyond volatility, taking into account asymmetry, tail risk and illiquidity risk.
It is our long-held belief, backed by experience, that risk management is a key driver of sustainable long-term performance.
An understanding of the macroeconomy and the sensitivities of alternative risk premia to the business cycle helps to define the most efficient capital allocation to create well-balanced exposure to macroeconomic regimes and manage it dynamically.
Adding uncorrelated alpha from hedge funds
While alternative risk premia can be harvested efficiently in this way, genuine alpha, which cannot be explained by risk factors, remains valuable for portfolios as a source of uncorrelated returns.
We strongly believe that top hedge fund managers can deliver a substantial degree of alpha. Manager selection is crucial here to identify suitable managers to complement the core exposure to alternative risk premia.
Key to this is a comprehensive analysis of the sources of return of each manager using the advanced modelling tools, to ensure low correlation with alternative risk premia as well as low cross-correlation between the different managers selected to ensure robust portfolio construction.
The past is not always a good guide to the future. In a world where traditional investments may come under pressure, active risk management is required to navigate markets and interest in alternatives remains high, but a new way of accessing these returns is needed.
We believe that carefully selected expert hedge fund investments complementing a core exposure to liquid alternative risk premia is the right way to do this.