Geopolitical factors to shape markets in 2012 – EIU research

BNY Mellon sponsored research by the Economist Intelligence Unit suggests that factors such as Greece exiting the euro or an oil price spike linked to Iran are seen as the key risks to investment in 2012 among the 800 institutional and corporate investors surveyed.

More than 60% of respondents expect the euro to fall in value this year, while across all regions less than half, 45%, of respondents expect increased levels of capital expenditure this year.

Growth in China and India may slow, throwing focus on smaller emerging markets, while respondents based in the US, where the economy is showing some signs of recovery, were most positive about the impact of increased business investment.

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