Chinese currency jitters hit Euro stocks

European stock markets opened negative in response to the Chinese stock market closing again after having fallen by 7% within half an hour.

German stock market index DAX went down by -3.43%, the CAC40 by -2.81% and the FTSE100 by -2.73% as of 11am CET, according to Bloomberg data.

The Chinese stock market collapsed for the second time this year, partly in response to the ongoing depreciation of the yuan. Investors were spooked by the Chinese central bank setting its reference rate at an unexpectedly low level this week, reinforcing further currency depreciation, argues Mo JI, chief economist, Asia ex-Japan at Amundi Hong Kong.

“Among all reasons – sluggish PMI, 1.1trn RMB unlocking pressure, domestic institutional investor re positioning, we think RMB is the key trigger of the market correction. Market gets more and more nervous with accelerated CNY depreciation recently” he says.

“Stock markets are generally considered to be a nervous, but insightful early indicator of real economic activity” argues Tobias Basse, analyst at Nord LB.

“Looking at China, it is wise to use this method with caution, because the local stock market is so unusual and the behavior of some market participants seems to be less influenced by fundamentals and rather a substitute to gambling” Bosse argues.

“We do not anticipate that the Chinese economy will collapse. As the current negative mood will improve, a falling risk premium could in this case lead to a rising DAX.”

“In retrospect, today might be a good opportunity to buy into European equities” Bosse concludes.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Mona Dohle
Mona Dohle speaks German and Dutch, she is DACH & Benelux Correspondent for InvestmentEurope. Prior to that, she worked as a journalist in Egypt and Palestine. She started her career as a journalist working for a local German newspaper. Mona graduated with an MSc in Development Studies from SOAS and has completed the CISI Certificate in International Wealth and Investment Management.

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