Oil at around $50 possible for next four years, says Skagen’s Stensrud

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Reporting on Norwegian manager Skagen’s annual New Year’s investor meeting in Oslo, local newspaper Dagens Næreingsliv has quoted co-founder and portfolio manager Kristoffer Stensrund saying that oil at the latest price of around $50 could be in place for up to four years.

Stensrud would not be drawn on speculating where the price would head, but did suggest that the consensus on the pace of recovery in the price may be too optimistic.

He added that he would not be surprised if the price of oil remained at today’s levels, perhaps even lower, for the next four years, DN reported.

Stensrud pointed to the last time oil prices reversed significantly in the mind-late 1980s. Then, it also took some four years for prices to recover, spurred on by the geopolitical crisis centred on the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.

The long term market price of oil currently looks set to remain depressed not least because Opec’s members seem to be looking to maintain a competitive price, Stensrud has said.



Jonathan Boyd
Editorial Director of Open Door Media Publishing Ltd, and Editor of InvestmentEurope. Jonathan has over two decades of media experience in Japan, Australia, Canada and the UK. Over the past 17 years he has been based in London writing about funds and investments. From editing the newsletter of the Swedish Chamber of Commerce in Japan in the 1990s he now focuses on Nordic markets for InvestmentEurope. Jonathan was awarded Editor of the Year at the Professional Publishers Association (PPA) Independent Publisher Awards 2017. Shortlisted for the same in 2016, he was also shortlisted in 2017 and 2015 for the broader PPA Awards category Editor of the Year (Business Media).

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